POLITICO MORNING EXCHANGE: WHY BREXIT AND TRUMP ARE GOOD NEWS FOR EUROPEAN MARKETS

Politico Morning Exchange: The counter-intuitive view comes from Jay Pelosky of Pelosky Global Strategies, a global investment advisory boutique. “Conventional wisdom towards Europe suggests all is lost and it’s only a matter of time before the EU disintegrates. I disagree and believe that the combination of Brexit and Trumpian rhetoric could lead the EU to greater integration. Think of what occurs when one stares into the abyss and contemplates a future never expected; it concentrates the mind,” he writes in his latest missive to clients. “This perspective suggests markets are PAST peak EU and euro bearishness.”

Read more....

BloombergTV Daybreak: Why PGS Likes European Banks

In this Bloomberg TV appearance I lay out the investment case for European banks. My comments focus on sentiment where I argue we are past peak EU bearishness, geo politics where I expect Brexit and Trumpian rhetoric to drive closer EU integration, not disintegration, economics where I highlight  Europe’s superior growth path and sector specific valuation (cheap) and ownership (under owned).

Watch Here...

 

 

ITAU: 2017 Global Investment Outlook: America First?

 

Here, I utilize my Global Risk Nexus framework to assess: economics, politics, policy and markets with a focus on the 6 key geo economic questions, the prospects for Pres. Trump to pull a Nixon and embrace Mexico as well as THE economic surprise of 2017: Japan’s return to inflation. The market outlook includes clear calls on equity vs debt, US vs Non US, DM vs EM, credit vs duration, $ vs non $ and concludes with the Top 5 Trades for 2017.

Read More...

ITAÚ: Brexit Is the Canary, US Election the Coal Mine

Back in the day, the canary in the coal mine served as an early warning signal for when air quality became too poor to support the miners: when the canary hit the ground, it was time to exit. Nowadays, this saying is used to suggest when one event is a warning of another. In today’s financial market context, the uncertainty surrounding the UK’s Brexit debate is the canary for what the US and global markets more broadly are about to experience in the run-up to November’s US presidential election.

Read More